China’s AI compute surge heavily reliant on US chips, offshore cloud access: report

China’s remote access alone is expected to swell to 2.8 million H100-equivalents by the end of 2027, up from roughly 1 million this year

China’s access to artificial intelligence computing power will double next year, but US-designed chips will account for about 65 per cent of that capacity, an indication of its continued reliance on foreign hardware, according to new research.

Total compute available to Chinese entities was expected to expand in 2027 from about 4.6 million to 8.8 million “H100-equivalents” – a metric benchmarked against Nvidia’s data-centre graphics processing units, according to a report by the Washington-based Institute for Progress (IFP).

While the US maintains a roughly 16-fold advantage in AI training compute over China, leading Chinese models lag their American rivals by only 6.5 months, the report said.